demographic assumptions for life insurance

COVID will remain a public health priority for the federal government, with a focus on still providing tests, vaccines, and treatments free or at low cost to lower-income Americans. 0000001626 00000 n You might be using an unsupported or outdated browser. March 03, 2023. stream 11% Percent difference between life insurance ownership for women compared to men. All Rights Reserved. WebDisability Insurance (DI) Trust Funds provides an annual report to the Congress on the financial Key Demographic Assumptions and Summary Measures for the Long-Range (75-year) Projection Period at each age of her life, the birth rate2 observed in that year. 15% of respondents strongly believe that Americans who are not vaccinated for Covid-19 should pay higher premiums. WebKeywords: Life Insurance, Customer awareness, Demand and supply Introduction Life insurance is a must for everyone because life is very precious. Females in the younger and middle ages (below age 75) have a higher prevalence of cancer-related death and lower prevalence of heart disease death compared to males. Some Americans report valuing life insurance as a way to pass along generational wealth. {s& kec}D'I!y>#" :LjdUlQH20J^#N*' vJ3Wo8'. xmo6 However, this weak approach to customer segmentation often creates sweeping generalizations and stereotyping. In 2021, 56% of Black Americans owned a life insurance policy. You can learn more about the standards we follow in producing accurate, unbiased content in our. This agenda item contains recommendations for new actuarial assumptions, as well as a copy of the Experience Study report. Less than a quarter of respondents believe that criminal history should play a role in quoting life insurance. A bit more than half of Americans (51%) believe that hobbies perceived to be dangerous, like skydiving, should lead to higher life insurance premiums. % Assistant Vice President, Biometric Research. 0000009677 00000 n lh`B(ccll pmM.aMWt3&:ry,s74YxW9'T9g. Eight out of 10 consumers overestimate the expense of getting a life insurance policy, according to a study by LIMRA and Life Happens. Charlene Rhinehart is a CPA , CFE, chair of an Illinois CPA Society committee, and has a degree in accounting and finance from DePaul University. Actuarial assumptions also allow for the equitable transfer of risk in many situations. Something went wrong. Demographics. How Top Advisors Cut Through the Noise and Find the Right Tools, Eli Lilly caps the cost of insulin at $35 a month, following California lawsuit, Self-funded plans: Examining the pros, cons, and misconceptions, 3 benefit trends to watch in 2023 (and beyond), Hospital pricing survey finds networks more costly than independent hospitals, Cheryl Brown Merriwether | WebDisability Insurance (DI) Trust Funds provides an annual report to the Congress on the financial and actuarial status of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance (OASDI) program. For example, when underwriting life insurance policies, it is important to understand the probability that the insured might pass away during the policy period. Among Black Americans, this figure is 51%. Closing the Last-Mile Gaps in Preventive Care Access: Considerations for Designing Effective Healthcare Solutions. Web* Set up, test and maintain actuarial models for life insurance pricing, product development, and profitability analysis * Develop pricing assumptions and model inputs for life product development * Perform stress testing and scenario analysis in order to equip management to make strategic decisions It is important to understand the selective features of these underwriting tools, beyond measuring the protective value using a traditional A/E analysis. WebQuestion: A company prices its tornado insurance using the following assumptions: - In any calendar year, there can be at most one tornado. zCO5]n~gneesy2{I-_e|Q/qd`3RU|R{k2eCfDO?h8";k_h\&:CcCQUB\eK#&mx*#]&B U8sPck[jWh#PV~&yK]MY-UV;n.WY3Ny~OyN yy=}$Le`CImP=79rWh4Jz{mDkY1WbWV3ejaN{Qpc[KO6>Nm2i":00(/%RD EeONH;n=r''b#WJ?r]DzV/d~^F!qKz*29a3;>fziTfw;],dq!M]99> l4=gc'bi/I+%]-ZWSs#|11t:guH{P+NyTAtw#`aT:hW1J{VC,[`9[:B[Q!Y.4RSE. 82 25 WebFocused on developing new insurance products and enhancing existing insurance product lines to remain competitive in the marketplace, while ensuring profitable growth and alignment with corporate goals and objectives of the risk product line. Assumption setting is an essential part of actuarial servicesacross all practice areasespecially as the use of actuarial assumptionscontinues to risein the Sarbanes-Oxley erawhich was implemented to reduce accounting fraud. About 30% of respondents indicated the pandemic made them more likely to buy life insurance. Conversely, cancer improvement accelerated., The combination of higher cancer improvement combined with slowing heart disease improvement and generally deteriorating mortality for most other CODs resulted in no mortality improvement for all CODs from 2012-2017.. The pandemic made American consumers consider life insurance more seriously, according to survey data from LIMRA. Given the values for the predictive variables, a sound actuarial assumption can be made for the uncertain variable or event. Experience as a Keine der hierin enthaltenen Unterlagen begrndet ein Verkaufsangebot oder eine Aufforderung eines Angebots zum Kauf von Finanzinstrumenten oder Wertpapieren in den Vereinigten Staaten, Kanada, Australien oder Japan bzw. He stressed on the need to focus on the working- wife families. According to House Speaker Cameron Sexton, Attorney General Jonathan Skrmetti advised lawmakers that proposed changes to the so-called trigger law would better protect it from court challenges. Likelihood of a weather catastrophe or event. The Quarterly Life Insurance Performance Statistics publication provides industry aggregate summaries of financial performance, financial position, capital adequacy and Until 1999, the business of Actuarial assumptions involve mathematical and statistical models designed to evaluate risk and probabilities for a particular event. the trend can look different for the life insurance population when COD prevalence is taken into consideration. The goal of this type of actuarial assumption is to establish a life expectancy for underwriting purposes. Almost half of underinsured or uninsured women say they need more life insurance. Employers are in a powerful position to help improve heart health and reduce heart risk, while potentially reducing cardiovascular spend by offering a digital program as an employee benefit. National Association of Insurance Commissioners. An actuarial assumption might include predicting a person's lifespan given their age, gender, and health conditions. Nearly six in 10 do believe that its reasonable for risky drivers to pay higher premiums. o Strong prevalence of breast cancer amongst the younger female population (below age 65)3. WebNotice that life expectancy at age 65 increases by a chart indicates that a male born in 1955 will have a life expectancy at age 65 (in 2020) of 20.74 years. Black Americans are on average more likely to report interest in using a financial professional but are no more or less likely than average to use one. This compensation may impact how and where listings appear. Taking some numbers for 0000002308 00000 n "H.R. 0000002354 00000 n Copyright 2022 Munich American Reassurance Company. Households with a mean income up to $50,000 are 30 percent less likely to own life insurance than households with $75,000 or more. an office environment such as a law firm Group life cost projections are given The number of Americans who believe they dont have enough life insurance has more than doubled since 2010. Actuarial service is one way corporations determine, assess, and plan for the financial impact of risk. Web1 Enough comparative statistics were available to suggest, alarmingly, that the average English physique was indeed weaker than it had been fifty-five years before. groups differently. The median coverage amount for white Americans with life insurance ($150,000) is three times higher than that of Black Americans ($50,000). Webdemographic assumptions. For example, if the average age of your employees is under 30, youre less likely to see as many dependents (spouses or children) than with an older workforce. P". While having life insurance is common, simply having a policy doesn't necessarily equate to adequate coverage. 1.8%. Download this white paper to learn how well-designed interventions can increase uptake, decrease cost and improve health in your workplace. NO! NEVER! DO NOT rely on any life insurance policy for an investment payoff unless you like to get ripped off. Place your money in VANGUARD mutual The goal is to Julia Kagan is a financial/consumer journalist and former senior editor, personal finance, of Investopedia. WebData Scientist. For women, this figure is about two in 10. Men are about 10% more likely than women to view life insurance as a supplement for retirement income. 119 0 obj <> endobj More than twice as many respondents (33%) strongly disagree with this idea. Calculations might include the likelihood of investment returns and payout requirements so that a company can plan and account for funding requirements. Lets make a simplifying assumption that half of the extra deaths were insured. The findings following the recent Fed meeting reinforce this assumption. The December 2022 Quarterly Life Insurance Performance Statistics publication is available on APRAs website at: Quarterly life This describes about one in three American men but only about one in five American women. These include total population, life expectancy, labor force, gross domestic product, interest stream Definition and Examples of Application, Predictive Analytics: Definition, Model Types, and Uses, Risk Analysis: Definition, Types, Limitations, and Examples, National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC), MDL-205, Annual Financial Reporting Model Regulation. Almost 60% of respondents to a Forbes Advisor survey on marijuana and life insurance indicated theyd have reservations about applying for life insurance if they legally used marijuana. - Actuarial analyses, evaluating efficiency of life insurance portfolio. The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has released its Quarterly Life Insurance Performance Statistics publication for the December 2022 quarter. About five in 10 Americans surveyed report not having any life insurance or lacking sufficient coverage. Policyholders can ask for an in-force illustration once a year, and they should get it within 30 days of making the request. Darber hinaus wird von jedem Inhaber der relevanten Finanzinstrumente oder Wertpapieren angenommen, dem Emittenten dargelegt zu haben, dass (i) er kein US-Brger ist und (ii) dass er diese Finanzinstrumente oder Wertpapiere nicht auf Rechnung eines US-Brgers erwirbt. Americans identifying as male and female experience some important aspects of life insurance differently. Group.life insurance policies are of 2 types one is Group term insurance and other one is Group.saving linked life insurance ( GSLI). While in firs Folglich wurden diese Finanzinstrumente oder Wertpapiere sowie diesbezgliche Angebote (i) weder nach dem Amerikanischen Wertpapiergesetz noch nach einem Gesetz eines US-Bundesstaates registriert; (ii) diese Finanzinstrumente oder Wertpapiere drfen nicht direkt oder indirekt in oder in die Vereinigten Staaten angeboten, verkauft, wiederverkauft, verpfndet oder geliefert werden, es sei denn, es liegt eine Befreiung von den Registrierungsanforderungen des Amerikanischen Wertpapiergesetzes vor; und (iii) solche Finanzinstrumente oder Wertpapiere knnen dem US-Steuerrecht unterliegen. Critical BenefitsPRO.com information including cutting edge post-reform success strategies, access to educational webcasts and videos, resources from industry leaders, and informative Newsletters. %PDF-1.5 % Life insurance and annuities were responsible for nearly half of the American insurance industrys net premiums in 2021. After that lapse rates generally trend downward again. Some respondents (12%) said, incorrectly, that they believe insurers can deny claims if they are for a Covid-related death. 82 0 obj <> endobj - Price calculation for life portfolio. In 2021, annuities accounted for 48% of life/annuity premiums written. Among Americans who say they feel very or extremely knowledgeable about life insurance, more than 60% have coverage. Investopedia requires writers to use primary sources to support their work. X Only in the sense of increasing your property loss coverage to cover the newly acquired valuable property. Mere possession of a firearm in the home Actuarial assumptions involve mathematical and statistical models designed to evaluate risk and probabilities for a particular event. Anactuarial assumption can include analysis of the following: Actuarial assumptions are important because they help companies develop contingency plans for the future based on possible outcomes. Forbes Advisor survey respondents were commonly unaware that certain aspects of personal historyunrelated to healthare considered by insurers when determining an individuals life insurance quote: Only 35% of respondents knew that driving records are usually considered. Weder die in diesen Seiten enthaltenen Informationen, noch irgendeine Meinungsuerung begrnden ein Angebot oder eine Aufforderung, Finanzinstrumente oder Wertpapiere in irgendeiner Rechtsordnung zu erwerben. White respondents (64%) to a Forbes Advisor survey were much more likely to indicate this view than Black respondents (37%). This framework is a n eight-step process Webdemographic and other noneconomic assumptions for measuring obligations under defined benefit pension plans; and b. expands upon and, in some areas, modifies those <> We also reference original research from other reputable publishers where appropriate. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The same survey found that 68% of life insurance owners say they do feel financially secure. Given an accurate actuarial assumption for this probability, a fair premium for such a policy can be calculated. Web3.4 Pricing Assumptions 6 3.4.1 Historical Experience Used When Setting Assumptions 6 3.4.1.1 Assumptions Based on Relevant and Credible Data 6 3.4.1.2 Assumptions Based on Historical Experience 6 3.4.1.3 Assumptions When There is No Relevant Historical Experience 6 3.4.2 Assumption Margins 6 3.4.3 Consistency of Assumptions 7 The relationship reverses at the older ages (age 75+). Web23 Assumptions used in pricing (3) (1) Demographic assumptions The main demographic assumption required to price a life insurance contract is with regard to the future mortality experience (i.e. We unlock the potential of millions of people worldwide. HWr}WCjCn`J%nlVL\u@s1`(Y,}9}wcCQ-zo]o=~0{^|9NDKYx9nIuH&^c8s"7I>,rzCqu/R>u94D/>`ZN%},(4Jo\k ]~r1t_OSU.2?/tTJzy`,:dLj4U(1}(*?T/Zh\JR8?R x8[|#on__-u.RG,rBCO|/g0/755_"Z%--jz=>+`xgu&=Yr`(U*Me[d4zBAZrooZ]E!j$ 0.8%. One of the most commonactuarial assumptionsmade by insurance companies is thelife expectancy projectionof a person seekinglife insurance. The determinants of life insurance ownership observed in this study include socioeconomic and demographic factors. Please scroll and read to the very bottom, before you can confirm. 0000002603 00000 n IPvBg*h:\\\3:(i)KJ*3Pb&#JD>'m}9zksmP%.A"LBz_3R6=4ga1'N3A@RpBL An actuarial assumption is an estimate of an uncertain variable input into a financial model, normally for the purposes of calculating premiums or benefits. mortality improvements. Age, family size and birth rate significantly influence the customers to buy life insurance cover (Berekson, 1972). While the rate of mortality improvement has been slowing in the overall U.S. population, Mortality rates and how policies are sold). - Calculation of reserves. At 18 he ran away and saw the world with a backpack and a credit card, discovering that the true value of any point or mile is the experience it facilitates. (^K($pa,])if d]r,R %ep*R(!H0I jrc`T 0000002171 00000 n ?wwg1J%Z'BI/nH^0? About 60% reported a heightened awareness of the value a life insurance might provide. Consider that in the U.S., 58 percent of men have coverage, whereas only 47 percent of women do, and that gap further increases for minorities and younger women. According to recent statistics, there continues to be a gender gap when it comes to life insurance coverage: men are better protected than women. 2.1 Best-Estimate AssumptionAn assumption that reflects anticipated experience with no ! How much a life insurance company pays out on a specific claim depends, of course, on the terms of the policy. Much of the end of 2020 and start of 2021 were made up of a lower number of loan originations. 0000013791 00000 n :z X4I'(@t=yWOY{sq bV:f})f&>.| 7vSikK J/@#s,Q 2m^h9 :^{M$xAZ ,Pue)m"Q5T]555DU wM4]< ,krP7$4W QX2\# :9Tj[em*l3Ghix0ymtT5N C>2&^faoduGykJ]0`C=Y. 0000002216 00000 n $168,000 times 280,000 deaths times 3 years = around 141 billion dollars. Bratislava. Actuarial measurements are often part of financial statementsand are an integral part of an organization's risk management practices. WebThe aim of this paper is to analyze social and demographic determinants of life insurance demand in Republic of Croatia. It is a type of TERM life insurance policy that some buyers like because if they survive the chosen time period and are still living, ALL the money it is important to take the COD prevalence into consideration. As well-intentioned as the wellness, mental and behavioral health care industries may be, their efforts sometimes fall short of meeting the needs of todays post-pandemic workforce. <> This negative improvement trend was changed to a slightly positive +0.1% when we excluded opioids from the calculation. /^__}_n?~: on]+?KqEq^P4.y\(ke@E(:P@%# ^=|A5)_#~}9s&,'6q@M/^]l 8Vpw . - Life insurance product development. Insurance rate calculation is a science. Even weather patterns affect insurance premiums. Actuary is responsible for premium calculation. a. demographic assumptions and methods Social Security. 8.1%. endobj Webdemographic assumption selected by the actuary should be consistent with the others unless the assumption, considered individually, is not material. Your financial situation is unique and the products and services we review may not be right for your circumstances. 2.06x. WebIndia (IRDAI) in its Handbook on Indian Insurance Statistics 2020-21 has given lapse ratio and persistency figures for life insurers from 2013-14 to 2020-21. Editorial Note: We earn a commission from partner links on Forbes Advisor. Although actuarial assumptions are typically used for mortality analysis with life insurance, the same methodologies are also applied to other types of insurance, including liability and property insurance. However, among those who say they dont feel knowledgeable about life insurance, fewer than 20% have life insurance. Actuarial science is a discipline that assesses financial risks in the insurance and finance fields, using mathematical and statistical methods. xbbd```b``1 ID y'XF0yLI&Hk&"y`[l|YfH0D?|@d7HK H/Ct! Pay your bill? The 0.8% gap (-0.4% vs +0.4%) between the initial population mortality improvement trend and the adjusted trend goes a long way towards explaining the differences in the rate of mortality changes between overall and insured populations from 2016 to 2017. 1 When analyzing the As the U.S. population ages, the country faces a serious demographic problem, said Tyler Brown, director of government affairs for North American Co. @ [^ 441 0 obj<>stream - Cash-Flow modelling for life insurance products in PROPHET. WebThe rate for life insurance and other benefits of the plan are based on the size of the group, age demographics, nature of the business, e.g. 186 0 obj <>stream You may also enjoy: "The 15 US states with the longest life expectancies" "7 agent FAQs on long-term care insurance" "This demographic avoids all types of Interest rates and equity markets have declined, credit spreads have widened, and implied volatilities have increased. Life Happens: 2022 Insurance Barometer Study. 4 0 obj From 1999 to 2009, another This compensation comes from two main sources. 64% of Americans aged 58 and older surveyed lack life insurance, compared to only 9% of Americans aged 18 to 25. The Covid-19 pandemic has impacted some perceptions and realities of the insurance industry, particularly the life insurance industry. Mortality rates that are appropriate for valuing pension obligations may not generally be appropriate for valuing life insurance or individual annuity contracts. 1 0 obj an US-Brger oder in eine andere Rechtsordnung, in der ein solches Angebot oder dessen Einholung rechtswidrig ist. 7i[5Rl{cd0[K c-SOfeKG H1 b6z}ld`I1(}l>g6(fj6Z7+jQKV>QpX0C-+ujj@Ae4$hWiWYK&`qz K#xV(#Z ld6R3Fsf9Q 12JfH#r?\onn.~{ Wellness plans evolve from treatment to prevention for post-pandemic workforce, Tennessee Attorney General has legal concerns over abortion ban, COVID vaccine update: Government is changing its role. %PDF-1.5 % This type of market segmentation gets the job done in markets with little competition. Disruption may be one of the most overused buzzwords in business today. Without the ability to accurately calculate these probabilities, few companies would be willing to provide insurance. Only about two in 10 Americans think driving records should not play a role in life insurance rates. f L7)#_+vk10-#'B^s2- 9w Kr596dT`PmF] 1h6K.`{t5 #%0T ct\J`i&5W cUoXw0xV-EWg lWXB\3Ia]5jF-QK@Z lTf@`gg"}&&}&cgkg*}U!-l V>[~N!` J;rH=Es"Z=|^G 2e!58ZA!8uNBxog&Mf`kuj7X.F3b D=z&/=OY_Vnigs1%#5jX4 AM(gP_jxXiZ[5>|_QEJE4 PSPgz%W`P$gVt There are 2 main factor taken , average age of group the group and nature of work involved that particular group . HSBC Life is a world-class institution where you can specialize in Insurance but enjoy the advantages that come with being part of a leading global international bank. In finance, actuaries provide actuarial assumptions for pension plans. Among those without life insurance, Black Americans surveyed by LIMRA assumed the cost of coverage to be 30% higher than white Americans asked the same question. Life insurance ownership can vary considerably across state lines, too, according to the American Council of Life Insurers. This follows an industry shift from traditional life insurance toward annuities. Nearly six in 10 believe regular users of marijuana should not have to pay higher premiums as a result. Information provided on Forbes Advisor is for educational purposes only. <<034648E133213143B98327FD2076D1FD>]>> U.S. Congress. WebThe National Association of Insurance Commissioners Life Insurance Illustrations Model Regulation ( Model #582) says that insurance companies have to give you in-force illustrations. ^H lOjOL(X,/@[l$4##;"b_>MosoMfyZl"__Dw;rZta)Vt'34VuCRKAeZK'~ssAO?i FEo7~g,b:D@aYr4to}pnRI)\LG$gh?qD# More than a quarter (28%) would reach this point in only one month. 0 0000008946 00000 n \xGDv\PPJ794?,?P About one in four American adults surveyed is covered solely by an employer-based life insurance policy. Our assessments, publications and research spread knowledge, spark enquiry and aid understanding around the world. We believe that sharing our findings will lead to better understanding the key drivers behind emerged mortality improvement trends and hope to stimulate further discussions on how COD distribution can impact overall mortality trends in a life insurers block of business. WebAppointed actuary. Survey data indicate large numbers of Americans are likely to share one or more of a few most-common rationales for this decision. Women (22%) are twice as likely as men (11%) to lack life insurance. Reason's to buy life insurance: 1. You love somebody 2. You owe somebody 3. You need a tax shelter 4. You want a good way to save money Reason's no 0000000796 00000 n Among the younger generations, members of Generation X are more likely (52%) to consider simplified issue life insurance than age groups (47%). 2.2 CostsAll benefit 33% knew criminal history could be considered. Never hurts to try. The renewal of my auto policy for a 2012 Honda Fit was $1,600 (annual premium). Seemed high, to me. There are no black marks on Knowing what percentage of Americans have life insurance and from where can be helpful in making personal decisions. Chauncey grew up on a farm in rural northern California. Katrina vila Munichiello is an experienced editor, writer, fact-checker, and proofreader with more than fourteen years of experience working with print and online publications. 1 0 obj _vH(`I5n8][}LLYN})U6,,J;$0'G%HF3gF Z'heVP5J,`P!"zhz$0"9E)(`P)l#Da! Lapse ratio in many of the stream 106 million American adults do not believe they have adequate life insurance coverage, according to the 2022 Insurance Barometer Study conducted by LIMRA and Life Happens.[5]. <> Ongoing work to improve the consumer and advisor sales experience in Canada. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC)a consumer regulatory watchdogpromulgated the Model Audit Rule, which requires, among other things, an independent audit of financial records. cR^V=.zG0trWcGm:>g6k1fTnVB~AB+ib)m5%*ujf5Uj$ $X@ q/R4UUim1X\pa{PO3R)|KC]b+QWV1F%~%A\W-Q A)VU+igEC/P5YF|bbB6vbE 85D*S@Z7Py\ORLbn @ +K6$+(dnR#0?7/b4qy AD"-mfFGhOD9iim&$9, \@ys4Hrm7CHbU } VLlX6C@u~Jn d@>=?,5_ V4b HL& H("\"BP=` `8@g`YWh3g2'23310aaI-Y.3s1a456~bfC&810v"L D ~ Throughout the document, we refer to an example assumption management framework that could be considered by practicing actuaries. x[]\+$a*}`!a~08]csJ:jO|UVJ/N5PBsO\J$.5|R#>E'&NQTW[s\K);9pB!pm}+.Dk\%T WK3l^XLkNZ C$X0jl!0- (-}naP 8C(pYd t3>d3 vS% $ m xfgGd\@Z u ,P`"AR1T-kN3 Approximately one in three American adults surveyed are covered solely by an individual policy unrelated to their employer, with little difference between men and women within this category. Fewer than half of people without life insurance surveyed in this study say they feel financially secure. 0000002262 00000 n Cairo, Egypt. Moreover, the +0.1% would increase further to +0.4% if population COD distribution was replaced with Munich Res insurance portfolio COD distribution. Annahmen oder andere sich auf ein Angebot beziehende Unterlagen drfen nicht postalisch in den Vereinigten Staaten, Kanada, Australien oder Japan frankiert oder abgestempelt werden. 23% knew a current bankruptcy is often considered. Jonathan Mattise and Kimberlee Kruesi | The Associated Press | 40% Percent of insured who wish they had purchased their policies at a younger age. trailer 0000004319 00000 n Among Black respondents to a Forbes Advisor survey, this figure is 22%, nearly three times as high as that of white respondents (8%). Many life insurance owners say they wish theyd purchased life insurance sooner. l9 - va *f Webamines the demographic effects in terms of projected growth rates for the labour force and for several related population-base quantities. In 2020, more than 18 million American womenabout 14%lost their life insurance coverage. Access to other award-winning ALM websites including ThinkAdvisor.com and Law.com, Unlimited access to BenefitsPRO.com - your roadmap to thriving in a disrupted environment.

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demographic assumptions for life insurance

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demographic assumptions for life insurance

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